科学研究

科学研究

论文发表
当前位置是: 首页 -> 科学研究 -> 论文发表 -> 正文

Financial Volatility Forecasting with Range-based Autoregressive Volatility Model

id:2128 时间:20131014 status:published 点击数:
杂志Finance Research Letters   
作者Hongquan Li, Yongmiao Hong
正文The classical volatility models, such as GARCH, are return-based models, which are constructed with the data of closing prices. It might neglect the important intraday information of the price movement, and will lead to loss of information and efficiency. This study introduces and extends the range-based autoregressive volatility model to make up for these weaknesses. The empirical results consistently show that the new model successfully captures the dynamics of the volatility and gains good performance relative to GARCH model.
JEL-Codes:G32; C01; C53
关键词:Volatility modeling; Price range; Forecasting performance; Intraday information; GARCH
TOP